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BOY


End Market Tracker & Forecaster

Motor Vehicles
Average Annual % Change     
  10 Years 5 Years 3 Years
Motor Vehicles 0.0 -1.2 -0.9
Autos -3.7 -4.7 -4.7
Light Trucks 3.1 1.2 1.2

Motor Vehicles

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sep The Vehicle Plastics Index dropped 19% in the latest month when compared with the same month from a year earlier. This followed a decline of 18% in the previous month.

sep The annual total for our Vehicle Plastics Index is expected to decline 10% in 2008 following a drop of 7% in 2007.

sep The graphs for both U.S. auto assemblies and our Vehicle Plastics Index will hit their cyclical bottoms in the second half of 2008. The industry will struggle for another quarter or two, and it will then regain some momentum by mid-2009.

sep In June, total U.S. motor vehicle assemblies declined by 17% when compared with the same month a year earlier. This followed a 26% drop in the previous month

sep The total number of motor vehicle assemblies in the U.S. will drop by 10% in 2008 after a decrease of almost 5% in 2007.

Motor Vehicles Data
 
Latest Previous Year YTD% Annual % Change
  Month Month Ago Change 2006 2007 2008
Vehicle Plastics Index (2) 2004=100 67.7 75.0 84.0 -12.3 -7.4 -7.4 -10.0
- Plastic Gas Tanks (2) 2004=100 70.2 77.6 91.0

-13.8

-10.2

2.6 -10.0
Auto Dealer Sales (1), billions of $ SA 62.5 64.8 69.8 -6.3 1.4 2.6 -6.0
               
  Millions of Units Annual Rate  
 
Latest Previous Year YTD% Annual % Change
  Month Month Ago Change 2006 2007 2008
Motor Vehicle Assemblies - Total (1) 9.9 9.1 11.9 -14.0 -5.7 -4.5 -10.0
Auto Assemblies (1) 3.9 3.7 4.2 -4.3 1.1 -10.1 -3.0
Light Truck Assemblies (1) 5.7 5.1 7.4 -19.5 -10.7 1.8 -18.0

(1) Latest Data = June 2008
(2) Latest Data = June 2008

Data Sources: Federal Reserve Board, U.S. Commerce Dept., Mountaintop Economics & Research, Inc.
Forecasts: Mountaintop Economics & Research, Inc.


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